Dinamika Moneter dan Ekspor Migas: Analisis Pengaruh Uang Beredar M1 dan M2 terhadap Sektor Migas Indonesia
Analisis Pengaruh Uang Beredar M1 dan M2 terhadap Sektor Migas Indonesia
Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh uang beredar sempit (M1) dan uang beredar luas (M2) terhadap ekspor migas di Indonesia. Dengan menggunakan metode kuantitatif dan analisis regresi linear berganda, penelitian ini mengevaluasi data dari Januari 2019 hingga Agustus 2023. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa M1 memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap ekspor migas, sedangkan M2 menunjukkan pengaruh negatif yang signifikan. Peningkatan M1 meningkatkan likuiditas yang memungkinkan ekspansi ekspor migas, sementara peningkatan M2, yang mencakup simpanan berjangka, dapat mengurangi likuiditas dan menurunkan daya saing produk migas. Temuan ini menekankan pentingnya kebijakan moneter yang seimbang untuk mendukung pertumbuhan ekspor migas yang berkelanjutan. Penelitian ini juga memberikan rekomendasi bagi pembuat kebijakan untuk mempertimbangkan variabel moneter dalam merumuskan kebijakan ekonomi yang efektif.
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Baek, J. (2021). Crude oil prices and macroeconomic activities: a structural VAR approach to Indonesia. Applied Economics, 53(22), 2527–2538. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2020.1862750
Barnabani, M. (2019). An F-Type Multiple Testing Approach for Assessing Randomness of Linear Mixed Model. AMERICAN REVIEW OF MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS, 7(2). https://doi.org/10.15640/arms.v7n2a4
Choubey, S., & Karmakar, G. P. (2021). Artificial intelligence techniques and their application in oil and gas industry. Artificial Intelligence Review, 54(5), 3665–3683. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-020-09935-1
Chuvakhina, L. G., Moldenhauer, N. A., & Nasirbeik, A. (2021). Assessment of the impact of us energy policy on world oil prices. Journal of Mines, Metals and Fuels, 69(4), 111–120. https://doi.org/10.18311/jmmf/2021/27798
Fathimiyah, D. A., & Fianto, B. A. (2020). Pengaruh Variabel Makro Ekonomi Dan Dow Jones Islamic Market Index Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia (Issi) Tahun 2012-2019. Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Teori dan Terapan, 7(11), 2183. https://doi.org/10.20473/vol7iss202011pp2183-2191
Ichwani, T., & Hatta, I. H. (2020). the Effect of Bi 7-Days Reverse Repo Rate and Exchange Rate on the Money Supply (M1) in Indonesia. INQUISITIVE : International Journal of Economic, 1(1), 14–27. https://doi.org/10.35814/inquisitive.v1i1.1858
Kurniawan, M. L. A. (2020). THE STABILTY OF MONEY DEMAND IN INDONESIA: AN ARDL APPROACH. JURNAL OPTIMUM, 10(2), 153–162. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.12928/OPTIMUM.V10I2.18002
Malau, E. I. (2020). Determination of Food Price Increase in Indonesia: RICE, FOOD, SOY Period 2007 - 2017. Unicees 2018, 851–859. https://doi.org/10.5220/0009509108510859
Nitami, S. A., & Hayati, B. (2021). Relationship Between Crude Oil Price Fluctuations, Economic Growth, Inflation, and Exchange Rate in Indonesia 1967-2019. AFEBI Economic and Finance Review, 6(2), 83. https://doi.org/10.47312/aefr.v6i2.334
Razia, A., & Omarya, M. (2022). The Impact of the Broad Money Supply (M2) on Economic Growth per Capita in Palestine. International Journal of Business Ethics and Governance, 5(2), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.51325/ijbeg.v5i2.86
Ruibo, Z. (2020). The effect of monetary policy on raising funds in the stock market: Empirical analysis based on VAR model. Proceedings - 2020 16th Dahe Fortune China Forum and Chinese High-Educational Management Annual Academic Conference, DFHMC 2020, 284–288. https://doi.org/10.1109/DFHMC52214.2020.00062
Setiawati, R. I. S., & Harpy, M. (2023). Effect of Export-Import of Oil and Gas Commodities on Foreign Exchange Reserves in Indonesia. JEA17: Jurnal Ekonomi Akuntansi, 8(1), 12–27. https://doi.org/10.30996/jea17.v8i1.8636
Wang, Z. (2018). An Analysis of China’s Money Supply and Its Changes in 2008-2010. Financial Statistical Journal, 1(1), 22–29. https://doi.org/10.24294/fsj.v1i1.354
Published
2024-07-14
How to Cite
TUMBEL, Noldin Jerry.
Dinamika Moneter dan Ekspor Migas: Analisis Pengaruh Uang Beredar M1 dan M2 terhadap Sektor Migas Indonesia.
SUMIKOLAH: Jurnal Ilmu Pendidikan, [S.l.], v. 2, n. 2, p. 92-101, july 2024.
ISSN 2985-3842.
Available at: <https://ejournal.unklab.ac.id/index.php/sumikolah/article/view/1132>. Date accessed: 26 mar. 2025.
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Articles
